$885.01
24h
-5.59%
8 Nov, 17:16
Memory sector near-term resilience vs long-term downcycle risk
Neutral+5.98%
AI Summary
Shares J.P. Morgan's analysis on the memory semiconductor sector, highlighting a potential long-term downcycle driven by AI funding and power constraints while expecting near-term EPS stability due to supply-demand imbalances and contractual buffers.
J.P. Morgan on memory:
"The order visibility is extending as we progress through the year, but we believe the market is anticipating AI funding risk and power bottleneck driven memory downcycle as early as in 1H27E. This puts memory in a tricky spot as investors debate between "too-cheap to ignore" vs. "it is cheap for a reason." We believe EPS cuts are unlikely to happen in the next 6M as the memory S-D gap is too wide to narrow over a short period of time and memory earnings will have a buffer protected by LTAs and prepayments."
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