14 Nov, 13:02

Bullish on Micron's EPS growth trajectory

Bullish0.00%

AI Summary

The author argues that the market is overly pessimistic on memory stocks, asserting that consensus EPS growth expectations for Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung are achievable and justify higher valuations.

The market is now pricing memory stocks as if consensus is completely wrong: SK Hynix: 2.3x FY2027 P/E Samsung: 2.7x FY2027 P/E $MU: 4.4x FY2027 P/E The question is, will these companies actually deliver the EPS growth consensus expects? SK Hynix: +49% Samsung: +62% Micron: +134% Let's put those expectations into perspective $MU: Consensus expects $176 EPS for FY2027. Management guided to $38 for Q1, meaning the company needs to average $46 per quarter over the remaining three quarters, just 21% above Q1 guidance. Demanding, but completely reasonable Samsung and SK Hynix don't provide guidance, but it'd be fair to assume their numbers will follow a similar trajectory to Micron's Is the market being too pessimistic, based on what we know? I'm inclined to think so.

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